Description Are you an analyst with a background in economics and an interest in forecasting? The Scottish Fiscal Commission is recruiting to fill a post in its economic forecasting team. You will work closely with the senior analyst to design, build and run economic forecasting models. You will lead on discrete projects, tackling new forecasting challenges arising from national and global developments. You will help in developing a narrative around these forecasts and communicating the forecasts to colleagues, the Commissioners and stakeholders. You will also gain experience in communicating with a range of audiences, managing a programme of analytical work and developing analytical expertise. You do not need extensive understanding of economic forecasting as you will learn the necessary skills on the job. Responsibilities Design, build and run economic forecasting models. Work on the Commission’s key publications including forecast reports and forecast evaluation reports. Ensure the work of the Commission is clearly presented and accessible to a wide range of audiences. Take responsibility for your learning and development so you can continue to build and develop the work of the team. Help build positive working relationships with stakeholders including the Scottish Government and the Office for Budget Responsibility. Responsibilities Qualifications You should have a first or upper second class degree or postgraduate qualification in a numerate subject, for example: statistics, economics, actuarial science. Other qualifications or experience equivalent to these may also be acceptable; if you are in any doubt please contact Silvia Palombi. Please make it clear how your qualifications or experience meet this criteria on your CV. Success Profile Success profiles are specific to each job and they include the mix of experience and behaviours candidates will be assessed on. Experience: Lead Criterium: Knowledge of economics and forecasting. Experience as an analyst and an understanding of analytical techniques, gathering, analysing and presenting data. Behaviours: Changing and Improving - (Level 3) Delivering at Pace - (Level 3) Working Together - (Level 3) Communicating and Influencing - (Level 3) You can find out more about Success Profiles Behaviours, here. How to apply Apply online, providing a CV and Supporting Statement (of no more than maximum 1000 words) which provides evidence of how you meet the experience and behaviours listed in the Success Profile above. In the event of a high number of applications, an initial sift will be conducted using the CV and Supporting Statement on the Lead Criterium Experience 1 as listed above. Candidates who pass the initial sift will have their applications fully assessed against all remaining criteria, which includes the 2nd Experience criterium and all 4 Behaviours listed in the Success Profile above. If successful at application sift, you will be invited to an assessment and interview where we will test all criteria listed in the Success Profile. If invited for further assessment, this will consist of an interview and Analysis Exercise, and will take place virtually. Assessments are scheduled for 14th, 15th, 16th, 17th, 21st and 22nd July however this may be subject to change. Qualifications About Us We produce independent, robust forecasts and assessments to improve the transparency and scrutiny of the Scottish Budget. Our forecasts are vitally important to the setting of Scotland’s Budget and you’ll get the opportunity to have a real impact on how Scottish public finances are managed. We are independent of the Scottish Government and we give the answers to questions like: How much money will the Scottish Government get from taxes? How much will social security payments cost? What will climate change and aging population mean for public finances? Which spending decisions now could build up in the future? Our deep, impartial scrutiny and clear explanations bring transparency to the Scottish Government’s financial decisions. Find out more about us at: Staff Vacancies | Scottish Fiscal Commission. Our staff are part of the UK Civil Service, so we follow the Civil Service Nationality Rules. We offer a supportive and inclusive working environment and we align with the Scottish Government's employment terms and conditions. You can find out more about those on the Scottish Government's careers website. Working Pattern Our standard hours are 35 hours per week, but we also support part-time working. If the top candidate is part-time we will endeavour to adjust duties accordingly where possible. We offer flexible working hours between 7am and 7pm, Monday to Friday. We offer hybrid working. Our office is in central Edinburgh (EH1 3DE) and generally you can choose whether to work there, from home or a mixture of both. You would be expected to attend the office in person sometimes for all-staff days, all-team days or specific training events. We anticipate this would be around once a week. If you have specific questions please contact us. Equality Statement We are committed to equality and inclusion and we aim to recruit a diverse workforce that reflects the population of our nation. Find out more about our commitment to diversity and how we offer and support recruitment adjustments for anyone who needs them. Further Information Find out more about our organisation, what we offer staff members and how to apply on our Vacancies Page. The Scottish Government provides our HR service and their Candidate Guide gives further information on the recruitment and application processes. For more information, please contact Silvia Palombi at silvia.palombi@fiscalcommission.scot Apply Before: 29th June (23:59)