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Location: Redhill, England, United Kingdom (Hybrid)
The Green Recruitment Company is working alongside a ‘multi-energy’ company, producing and marketing oil and biofuels, natural gas, green gases, renewables, and electricity.
The Role:
The Industry Forecast Manager is responsible for all non-commodity cost forecasts and compliance with various Electricity market schemes.
Responsibilities:
Non-Commodity
* Manage and develop forecasting models for all non-commodity charges across gas and power.
* Propose ongoing rate changes based on a thorough understanding of cost methodologies and analysis of underlying assumptions. Utilize statistical models to project future trends based on historical and forecasted data.
* Collaborate with the pricing team to ensure timely and accurate updates to pricing systems.
* Report on forecast accuracy, analyze variances, and develop reporting tools for internal (sales) and external (customers) use.
* Calculate actual and reconciliation costs for non-commodity charges and report findings to the business.
* Assist the pricing team with non-commodity customer inquiries.
* Work with marketing to produce quarterly non-commodity reports, providing clear insights into future outlooks.
Scheme Management
* Validate ongoing FITS scheme invoices from Ofgem and conduct quarterly and annual FITs levelisation to ensure compliance, supporting FITS audits as necessary.
* Create monthly FITs accruals for finance.
* Review and submit quarterly TNUoS forecasts to National Grid.
* Submit Capacity Market forecasts to EMRS and validate invoices.
* Manage EII exemption processes and certificates, including scheme change developments.
* Identify current and future risks and develop innovative mitigation strategies.
* Monitor inflation using external forecasts to adjust internal models accordingly.
* Coordinate with the pricing team to ensure fixed annual customer prices incorporate appropriate risk levels.
* Assess and monitor regulatory risks, gathering information from multiple sources in collaboration with the regulation manager.
* Implement approved risk strategies for non-commodity forecasts.
Your Profile:
* Excellent verbal and written communication skills, with the ability to interact professionally with executives, managers, and subject matter experts.
* Strong data analysis and reporting skills, with excellent analytical and problem-solving abilities.
* Minimum of 5 years of commercial experience in the gas and power sector, with hands-on technical roles and a reliance on experience and judgment to achieve goals.
* Proficient in Excel; working knowledge of SQL, Power BI, and statistical tools such as Python is desirable.
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