Job Title: Downstream Risk Analyst
Location: London or Flexible (with Global Interface)
Employment Type: Permanent
An international energy operator is seeking a Downstream Risk Analyst to join its global optimisation team. This position plays a vital role in supporting crude allocation strategies, refining operations, and market competitiveness through advanced analysis of product pricing, market dynamics, and logistics.
The ideal candidate will provide high-level insight into refined products, chemicals, and crude markets, helping drive commercial decision-making and strategic planning across a global downstream portfolio.
Key Responsibilities
Analyse global trends and current events affecting energy, refining, and chemicals markets
Produce independent short-term price forecasts (3 to 4 month outlooks) for crude and refined products
Work closely with internal trading and product teams to align forecasts with operational insights
Monitor regional pricing dynamics, including premiums and discounts across markets
Support contract negotiations and pricing reviews for joint ventures and internal stakeholders
Evaluate transfer pricing relevance, providing commercial input to commercial and legal teams
Continuously enhance forecasting models, forward curve methodology, and market engagement practices
Collaborate across departments to align market forecasts with broader business strategies
Contribute expert knowledge to performance improvement, risk management, and margin enhancement initiatives
Assess the commercial impact of refinery configurations, logistics, and market access on product pricing
Minimum Requirements
Bachelor's degree in Commerce, Marketing, Engineering, Economics, Business Administration or a related discipline
Postgraduate qualification (e.g. MBA or MSc in Economics) is desirable
Strong knowledge of data analysis, warehousing, and market data tools
Minimum of 7 years' experience in the downstream oil and gas sector, including at least 3 years in a market analysis role
Direct experience analysing refined product markets at global, regional, or country level
Understanding of trading, corporate planning, and commercial strategy in a complex energy environment
Excellent communication and interpersonal skills, with a collaborative mindset and ability to share knowledge within cross-functional teams
This is a high-impact role suited to professionals who thrive on translating complex market signals into clear commercial strategies. It offers an opportunity to contribute directly to the optimisation of a global energy portfolio